Last week was brutal. The FHA interest rate was under heavy selling pressure all week and lost ground for the second week in a row. The primary causes were inflation figures that came in higher than expected and then two pieces of news from the Federal Reserve.
It was the single worst sell-off in any week since late last year.
The Federal Reserve played two big parts in the rates jumping. First, the January meeting minutes from the Fed meeting revealed a significantly more optimistic Fed than we saw in the brief press release that followed the meeting. Second, and largely unexpected, the Fed raised the Discount Rate to 0.75%. Mortgage rates do okay in times of economic troubles. These statements and ensuing actions by the Fed indicate that better times, and higher FHA loan rates, are coming.
The Fed Funds Rate, and the Prime Rate, should remain the same for the near future, but the Fed clearly drew a line in the sand: The economy is healthy enough where the loose monetary policy is coming to an end.
News for This Week’s FHA Mortgage Rate Predictions
This is a big news week:
- Tuesday : Case-Shiller Home Price Index, Consumer Confidence
- Wednesday : New Home Sales
- Thursday : FHFA Home Price Index, Initial Jobless Claims
- Friday : Existing Home Sales, Personal Consumption Expenditures
Even after last week’s big sell-off, mortgage rates still have enough room to jump an extra .25% without very much work at all.
If you’ve been trying to perfectly time the bottom of mortgage rates, you missed it. At this point, the best time to get an FHA mortgage is now, not later. We still have a .5% increase to the UFMIP hitting in just 40-ish days. No matter how you look at it, unless mortgage rates dip significantly, an FHA home loan approval looks to be more expensive after April 5th.
