For the third time in 12 months, the FHA is changing its mortgage insurance costs. 

Effective for all FHA case numbers assigned on, or after, April 18, 2011, annual mortgage insurance premiums (MIP) will increase 25 basis points.

The change will add $250 to an FHA-insured homeowner’s annual loan costs per $100,000 borrowed, and applies to all borrower’s equally. Current FHA borrowers are unaffected.

To understand the FHA is to understand why premiums are rising.

As an institution, the Federal Housing Administration plays a much larger role in the U.S. housing market today than it did just 5 years ago. According to its own records, the FHA’s percentage of purchase money business nationwide expanded from 4 percent in FY 2006 to 19 percent in FY 2010.

Rapid growth like this has strained the FHA’s capital and, indeed, in its official statement, the FHA alludes to this, stating that the MIP increase will “significantly strengthen” its reserves. By law, the FHA must maintain a certain minimum level of reserves.

FHA mortgage insurance varies by loan term, and by loan-to-value and, beginning April 18, 2011, the new insurance premiums are as follows:

• 15-year loan term, loan-to-value > 90% : 0.50% per year
• 15-year loan term, loan-to-value <= 90% : 0.25% per year
• 30-year loan term, loan-to-value > 95% : 1.15% per year
• 30-year loan term, loan-to-value <= 95% : 1.10% per year

To calculate your monthly mortgage insurance premium, multiply your starting loan size by your insurance premium, and divide by 12. 

There is no change planned to the 1 percent upfront mortgage insurance premium charged by the FHA.

Home prices ticked up 0.7% in November.  The Federal Housing Finance Agency tracks this data and, like Case-Shiller, it runs on a two-month delay.

That is perhaps the biggest issue.  The Realtor data shows 80% of Pending Home Sales close within 60 days meaning that the home price figures are always about a full sales cycle behind.

Over a year, the data can be fairly useful.  The facts are that home prices are up and home supplies are down over the past 12 month.

There are three main reasons to buy a home today:

1. First time home buyer tax credit
2. Home prices are low
3. Mortgage rates are low

We’re inside of 90 days on the expiration of the tax credit, we’re already seeing home prices move higher, and FHA interest rates are going to rise at the termination of the Fed’s purchase program.

Homes may not be this affordable for quite some time.

Securing an FHA mortgage is about to get more expensive.

The FHA announced Wednesday that it is making a few policy changes to reduce their overall risk.

It will mean tougher approvals and higher costs to secure a mortgage approval for those who wait.

As listed in the official announcement, there are 3 major guideline updates for the FHA:

1. Upfront mortgage insurance premiums are increasing to 2.25% from 1.75%
2. Minimum 10% down payments for those with less than a 580 FICO
3. Seller concessions are being limited to 3%, down from today’s allowable 6%

The FHA has also appealed to Congress to raise an FHA borrowers’ monthly mortgage insurance premiums.   The reason the FHA vs Conventional comparisons keep favoring FHA is that the premiums are so low.

It’s clear that the Federal Housing Administration needs to clean up their portfolio and yet balance their mission of creating affordable mortgage loans.

They are also going to start improving the quality of their lenders.  They are introducing a “termination clause” to attack the problem where it starts.  Should certain lenders represent a disproportionate number of the bad loans, they will lose their right to originate FHA loans.

As a result, home buyers can expect tougher FHA underwriting in 2010.  This won’t be as much due to the guideline changes, but more due to the “termination clause.”  For lenders to prevent being the “bad lender,” they will add overlays to insure that they do not have a disproportionately bad portfolio.  Examples of this already exist:  The FHA will allow 580 FICO scores, but nearly all lenders require at least 620 FICO.

The new guidelines don’t go into effect until spring, but acting now will save the up-front mortgage insurance premium monies plus lock in today’s monthly mortgage insurance payments before those too get more expensive.