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Mortgage rates could move higher beginning tomorrow morning. The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases its February jobs report at 8:30 AM ET.

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This morning, at 8:30 AM ET, the Bureau of Labor Statistics released its Non-Farm Payrolls report for January 2011. Mortgage rates are rising in response.

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For this month — and for the rest of 2011– employment data will figure big in mortgage markets and for home affordability. Today’s release is the first big splash.

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Mortgage rates are rising, up nearly 1 percent since mid-October. Tomorrow, rates could rise again.

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Mortgage rates have been falling since April, shedding more than 1 percentage point since the Refi Boom began. Today, that momentum could lose some steam.

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According to the government, 95,000 jobs were lost in September. Economists expected a net loss of 5,000. Mortgage rates should improve on the data today.

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On the first Friday of each month, the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases Non-Farm Payrolls data for the month prior. 54,000 jobs were created in August.

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Despite 290,000 jobs created in April 2010 — nearly twice the expected amount — and a 40 percent upward revision of March’s numbers, mortgage rates are essentially unchanged. In a normal environment, rates would be higher. Today is not normal.

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FHA loan rates have improved over the past few weeks, but tomorrow’s jobs report could send them much higher.

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